I recently received this question from a real estate investor and longtime friend and thought you might find it interesting.
Question: I have been purchasing and flipping homes over the past two years but I am now no longer able to buy single family homes significantly below asking price. What’s going on?
Answer: The answer is simple. Take a look at the statistics for Phoenix Metro area below which compare February of 2012 to February of 2011.
• The median sales price of a home increased from $115,000 to $124,500.
• Monthly foreclosure starts decreased 9%.
• Monthly foreclosure completions were down 52%.
• Overall sales were 9% higher.
• New home sales were up 26%.
• Resale home sales were up 63%.
• Short sales and pre-foreclosure sales increased 34%.
• Third party purchases at trustee sales were up 15%
• Single family homes for bank owned homes were down 40%.
• Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and other GSE (government sponsored enterprises) owned homes declined 58%.
Advice: Investors, like you, might be artificially creating demand which is driving up the values of homes. In fact, the number of investor flips grew by 69% in Maricopa County over the last year.
On the other hand, if you have cold cash, expansive local-market knowledge, strong nerves and the time to seek out bargains at foreclosure auctions, abundant opportunities are out there for you in the Phoenix Metro market.
Sources:
W.P. Carey School of Business, Arizona State University Monthly Report-Greater Phoenix Housing Market-February 2012
Foreclosure Help by James R. Haggerty

